Showing posts with label buying-strategy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label buying-strategy. Show all posts

Friday, February 24, 2023

Bank of Canada current interest rate



In January 2023 the Bank of Canada raised it's benchmark interest rate again, this time to 4.50%

Bank of Canada raises borrowing costs for seventh time in a row amid stubbornly high inflation. The Central bank has been raising rates aggressively to rein in sky-high inflation.

Since March of 2022, the central bank has raised its key interest rate six consecutive times, bringing it from 0.25 per cent to 4.50 per cent.

The Bank of Canada hiked its trendsetting interest rate by 1/2 percentage point on Wednesday.

The current rate is 4.50%

The Bank Prime rate for most lenders now stands at 6.70%
Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Sunday, January 01, 2023

See current POS properties across the GTA below




Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Wednesday, June 01, 2022

Bank of Canada increases prime rate 0.5% on June 1, 2022 Prime now 1.5%

The Bank of Canada raised its key interest rate by half a percentage point to 1.5% on Wednesday June 1, 2022

Bank Prime lending rates are now 3.7%

It's the 3rd half-point hike this calendar year in an attempt to slow our soaring inflation. 


This is a great article about the future of real estate in the GTA and how interest rates may be one of the factors that affect the real estate marketplace


Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Wednesday, April 13, 2022

Bank of Canada raises its key interest rate by 0.5% to 1%

Bank of Canada raises its key interest rate by half a percentage point to 1% on WEDNESDAY, APRIL 13, 2022

Bank Prime lending rates are now 3.2%

It's the first half-point hike in more than two decades amid soaring inflation. 


This is a great article about the future of real estate in the GTA and how interest rates may be one of the factors that affect the real estate marketplace, or read below:

Toronto Real Estate forecast 2022, April 11, 2022 
Wednesday, April 13⋅7:00 – 8:00am

Toronto real estate forecast 2022
by Corben Grant on 11 Apr 2022

After a hectic two years, in both real estate and the world at large, we have made it 2022 and it seems we are now entering yet another new phase. Though the world is slowly returning to normal, those paying attention to the real estate market are left wondering – what exactly does “normal” look like? How will things play out following the unprecedented market conditions of the last two years?

In Toronto, one of Canada's largest real estate markets, thousands of investors are now trying to anticipate what the future will hold and others are wondering if now is the time to buy in.

Telling the future is understandably a difficult and ultimately futile practice. However, there are many informed analysts who can at least give a pretty good guess. By looking at past market conditions, upcoming economic and legislative changes, and a bit of guesswork, it’s possible to make a more informed forecast.

In this article, we will explore what the 2022 Toronto real estate market could look like.

Current statistics
Before we get into the future of the market, we should probably understand how it stands now. All data in the following section is sourced from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board's (TRREB) most recent market statistics from March 2022.

In March of 2022, the Toronto real estate market continued at an active pace though in some key areas it showed some signs of balancing. Overall, it was marked as the third-best March on record and the second-best first quarter on record.

Housing prices down from February 2022
The average overall price across the GTA and for all housing types was $1,299,894. This marks one of the first decreases in price seen in quite a while, down from $1,334,544 in February. This also goes against the seasonal trend that would tend to see prices begin to rise into the spring market. Despite the month-over-month dip, price growth still remained in the double digits on a year-over-year basis, up from $1,097,351 in March of 2021.



Detached homes sold at an average price of $1,920,018 and $1,632,832 in Toronto and the GTA respectively, both down from the previous month for a combined average of $1,697,396. Prices weren't down across the board, however, as the condo market notably saw marginal price gains from last month.

Both listings and sales were lower than the high records of March 2021, though they were up from the previous month. Supply on the market remained at around just one month.

An anomaly or a sign of things to come?
This last month then presented a moderately more balanced market for Toronto, though we are far from out of the woods yet. What remains to be seen is if this is a temporary off month or the start of a longer trend in the market.

TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer is quoted in the release as saying that though competition among buyers remains strong in most segments, the city did “experience more balance in the first quarter of 2022 compared to last year. If this trend continues, it is possible that the pace of price growth could moderate as we move through the year.”

What 2022 will hold for the Toronto housing market
There are years where housing markets are fairly easy to predict with some accuracy as was the case for some of the pre-pandemic years in Toronto. However, the last two years have proven that unexpected events are very real and major disruptions can happen out of nowhere.

2022 is looking to be another year of unpredictable changes in the market. With the world recovering gradually from a global pandemic, the reinvigoration of the Canadian economy, rising interest rates, and new legislation coming into effect to cool the real estate market, there will be no shortage of potential shake-ups this year.

Each of these new factors will naturally have its own effects, but the combined effect of all the changes together becomes increasingly difficult to call. In the next section, we will look at some of the new changes expected for this year and how they can affect the housing market.

Rising interest rates
One of the biggest changes that are essentially guaranteed to play a role in the market this year is the interest rate increase from the bank of Canada.

Many reaped the benefits of record low rates in 2020-2021
During the depths of the pandemic, the Bank of Canada kept its prime interest rate at a record low level in order to aid the economy in getting through difficult times. While it may have helped the economy, the low-interest rates also played a part in driving up prices in Canada's real estate market, as well as growing inflation. With such low interest rates, buyers were able to afford higher mortgages so prices began to grow.

Multiple interest rate hikes predicted for this year
Now, the central bank has begun to raise interest rates, with a first hike occurring in March and at least a few more predicted for the rest of the year. The impact of gradually increasing rates on the Canadian housing market won't be instantaneous, but we should see effects sooner than later. As interest rates rise, more potential buyers will fail to qualify for loans, lowering the demand on the market. Those who do qualify will need to look for lower-priced homes. The hope is that this will cool the market somewhat.

New legislation in the Toronto real estate market
Housing concerns have been on the top of the agenda across nearly all party lines in Canadian politics for the last number of years and new legislation on both the provincial and federal levels are set to be put in place this year to curb the rampant housing market.

Non-Resident Speculation Tax
Recently, the province announced an increase to the Non-Resident Speculation Tax and a widening of its applicable area. The result is that any foreigners looking to buy homes in Toronto will be forced to pay a tax of 20%. This should reduce some demand on the market and allow Canadian residents a chance to buy homes with less competition.



Foreign Homebuyers Ban
On the federal level, the liberal government is set to take an even stricter stance, with a proposal to ban almost all foreign purchases for up to two years. This would all but erase completion from foreign buyers and reduce a lot of competition for homes. The matter of foreign buyers is contentious as there is still plenty of domestic demand for homes that will keep prices elevated, however, reduced competition is nonetheless welcome.

New housing supply initiatives
The Ontario government is also moving forward with plans to increase housing supply in coming years by streamlining development processes, with hopes to build 1.5 million new homes in the next 10 years. This should serve to combat the low housing supply that has plagued the market in recent years.

Toronto Vacant Homes Tax
Finally, Toronto itself has a newly instated Vacant Homes Tax coming into effect that hopes to bring more houses to the market. Such a tax has been effective in Vancouver to reduce the overall number of vacant homes, relieving some pressure on both the resale and rental markets.

In combination, these new laws should reduce demand and competition, while increasing the housing supply. While it is unlikely to cause a significant drop in house prices, it will allow for the market to cool and balance and help to ease the incredibly strong seller's market seen in recent years.

Economic recovery
Another aspect that can come into play for the housing market is an overall move towards a stronger Canadian economy in the recovery from the pandemic recession. As supply chain conditions begin to improve, this can have positive effects on the price of new-home development. Reigning inflation will also help ease financial burdens on Canadians and growing rates of employment and income will allow more Canadians to enter the market.

Unexpected events
One thing that recent times have made abundantly clear is that you never know what is around the corner. Even our best predictions will fail nine times out of 10 times to foresee the most unexpected events.

The two biggest causes of uncertainty right now come from the continued presence of COVID
15 minutes before
Mark Argentino


Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Monday, March 07, 2022

The Bank of Canada increased the prime rate by 1/4% in March 2022 and now is 0.50%

The Bank of Canada increased the prime rate by 1/4% in March 2022 and now is 0.50%

The Bank Prime rate for most lenders now stands at 2.70%  

This is the first change in the prime rate since April of 2020


Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: Info@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Friday, October 05, 2018

How does "affordability" (sales price + interest rate) influence market direction

Greetings from fabulous Mississauga!

I received a couple of insightful questions from an avid reader and thought I would share the questions and my thoughts on them

The questions were:

Mark,

I really enjoy receiving your emails with the latest POS properties and all the real estate information that you include.

I have a couple of questions:

     1. The average house price fluctuation we see on a yearly basis, is that price when the property is sold or is it the closing date? This would shift the cycle by a couple months depending.

      2. I can’t help wonder the influence of interest rates on price. I have a suspicion that “affordability” (sales price + interest rate) has a lot to do with the market direction? Have you ever graphed the house prices vs. interest rate?

Keep the great information flowing!!

Thanks again

BB

My answer was:

Hello BB

Thank you for your email.

Regarding your first point, the sold price is as of the date the property was sold, not the closing date.   

Your second point about the relationship between interest rates and prices is interesting.  I suspect here is a relationship, but not sure how closely one follows the other.  When rates increase it seems there is often a slight pause or lull in sales and then it continues again.  On the other hand, sometimes when rates go up there is a sudden surge in sales as the people who are pre-approved and locked into the lower rate end up purchasing.  When rates are trending downwards and there is a drop in the mortgage rate or an expected drop in rates, purchasers often go into a holding pattern waiting for rates to bottom out.   It really depends upon the “mood” of the market and which direction rates are going.  I’ll see what I can find with the numbers and let you know if I find a good relationship and high confidence value.

You also mention affordability and market direction.  Yes, I believe there is a relationship between these two factors too.  Again, there seems to be a tipping point where when rates and prices get too high, affordability becomes an issue and the market slows down.  The converse is also true.  I’ve found that the trend and the mood of the real estate marketplace and the press has more impact on the market direction than the actual numbers.  There are many instances of fear influencing the market far more than a change in interest rate or price.  When the government introduced the foreign buyers tax which ultimately affects less than 4% of all sales, our market collapsed.  Conversely, the fear of missing out on the rapid and sustained rise in prices caused many people to get into the market sooner than they otherwise would have (or should have) during many periods over the past 30 years.

Depending on where we are on the “Market Cycle”  greatly affects the marketplace.  To read more, see this page: http://www.mississauga4sale.com/Market-Emotions-Cycle.htm  I see that I need to update that page!

There are many more aspects to the real estate market that one can analyze. 

All very interesting factors to consider! J

Thank you,
Mark

Monday, September 03, 2018

Bank of Canada Raised the prime lending rate to 1.5% on July 12, 2018

As of July 12, 2018 the Bank of Canada Raised the prime lending rate to 1.5%

The major banks and lenders in Canada soon followed and increased their prime rate charged to their customers by 25 basis points to 3.70 per cent from 3.45 per cent, effective July 12, 2018



I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

Mississauga4Sale.com


Tuesday, March 13, 2018

Search Properties in Mississauga and Surrounding Areas of the GTA

Search in Mississauga
(if this space is blank its due to the page being secure, https://, it must be http://, please change this in your browser line above to display the search box, sorry for the inconvenience, this is a TREB issue)







Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Monday, June 05, 2017

Mississauga and GTA Real Estate Marketplace Conditions as reported on June 5th 2017

Hello from Fabulous Mississauga!

The latest numbers have just been reported from TREB for last months (May 2017) real estate marketplace.

As expected, the number of MLS listings are up by over 42% and the number of sales were down by 26%

Average prices year over year were up BUT the average price dropped from $919,614 in April to $863,910 in May.  This is highly unusual for average prices to drop in the period April to May.  Generally the average price increases during this period and has increased over the past 8 years except in 2012 where it dropped marginally.  This year the drop from April to May was about 6%

See the graph of average prices by clicking the image below.




The full report is below

I wish you all the best!
Mark



Active Listings Increase in May

TORONTO, June 5, 2017 – Toronto Real Estate Board President Larry Cerqua announced that Greater Toronto Area REALTORS® reported 10,196 sales through TREB’s MLS® System in May 2017 – down by 20.3 per cent compared to 12,790 sales reported in May 2016.

Sales of detached homes were down by 26.3 per cent. Sales of condominium apartments were down by 6.4 per cent.

Active listings – the number of properties available for sale at the end of May – were up by 42.9 per cent compared to the lowest level in 15 years recorded in May 2016, but remained below the average and peak during that period. The number increased considerably for low-rise home types including detached and semi-detached houses and townhouses. Active listings for condominium apartments were down compared to May 2016.

“Home buyers definitely benefitted from a better supplied market in May, both in comparison to the same time last year and to the first four months of 2017. However, even with the robust increase in active listings, inventory levels remain low. At the end of May, we had less than two months of inventory. This is why we continued to see very strong annual rates of price growth, albeit lower than the peak growth rates earlier this year,” said Mr. Cerqua.

Selling prices continued to increase strongly in May compared to the same month in 2016. The MLS® HPI Composite Benchmark price was up by 29 per cent year-over-year. The average selling price for all home types combined for the TREB Market Area as a whole was up by 14.9 per cent to $863,910. Year-over-year price increases were greater for condominium apartments compared to low-rise home types.

This likely reflects the fact that the low-rise market segments benefitted most from the increase in listings.

“The actual, or normalized, effect of the Ontario Fair Housing Plan remains to be seen. In the past, some housing policy changes have initially led to an overreaction on the part of homeowners and buyers, which later balanced out. On the listings front, the increase in active listings suggests that homeowners, after a protracted delay, are starting to react to the strong price growth we’ve experienced over the past year by listing their home for sale to take advantage of these equity gains,” said Jason Mercer, TREB’s Director of Market Analysis.


I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

Mississauga4Sale.com


Bank of Canada Interest Rate stays the same at 0.5%

Greetings from Fabulous Mississauga!

The Bank of Canada announced they would leave their key interest rate unchanged again at 0.5%. 

This means that the prime rate charged by most lenders in Canada will remain unchanged at 2.7%



The full press release is below.


The Bank of Canada is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent.
Inflation is broadly in line with the Bank’s projection in its April Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Food prices continue to decline, mainly because of intense retail competition, pushing inflation temporarily lower. The Bank’s three measures of core inflation remain below two per cent and wage growth is still subdued, consistent with ongoing excess capacity in the economy.
The global economy continues to gain traction and recent developments reinforce the Bank’s view that growth will gradually strengthen and broaden over the projection horizon. As anticipated, growth in the United States during the first quarter was weak, reflecting mostly temporary factors. Recent data point to a rebound in the second quarter.  The uncertainties outlined in the April MPR continue to cloud the global and Canadian outlooks.
The Canadian economy’s adjustment to lower oil prices is largely complete and recent economic data have been encouraging, including indicators of business investment. Consumer spending and the housing sector continue to be robust on the back of an improving labour market, and these are becoming more broadly based across regions. Macroprudential and other policy measures, while contributing to more sustainable debt profiles, have yet to have a substantial cooling effect on housing markets. Meanwhile, export growth remains subdued, as anticipated in the April MPR, in the face of ongoing competitiveness challenges. The Bank’s monitoring of the economic data suggests that very strong growth in the first quarter will be followed by some moderation in the second quarter.
All things considered, Governing Council judges that the current degree of monetary stimulus is appropriate at present, and maintains the target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent.

I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

Mississauga4Sale.com


Wednesday, July 13, 2016

Bank of Canada announces it will maintain its target rate at 1/2 per cent

Greetings from Fabulous Mississauga!

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent.

This means that mortgage rates and bank prime rates should be steady for next month or so.  Of course lenders can offer rate specials that you may be able to take advantage of.

Prime lending rate to consumers will likely stay at 2.70%

Inflation in Canada is on track to return to 2 per cent in 2017 as the complex adjustment underway in Canada’s economy proceeds. The fundamentals remain in place for a pickup in growth over the projection horizon, albeit in a climate of heightened uncertainty.


I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

Mississauga4Sale.com


Monday, May 09, 2016

Annual real estate cycle for Toronto and the GTA in Ontario over the past 20 years

Greeting from Fabulous Mississauga!

The graph below clearly shows the pattern of the annual real estate cycle for Toronto, the GTA in Ontario over the past 20 years.

 
This graph shows the cycle of how average price increases in the late winter and early spring, decreases during the summer months, increases again in the fall (but usually not as high as the highest price in the spring) and then decreases again over the  early winter months. The cycle repeats itself with near certainty, year after year and has done so since at least 1995.  When will this regular price increase stop? Nobody knows for sure, but it's a very interesting trend to see the seasonal fluctuations in home prices.

The only period that didn't show this regular increase was late 2008 to early 2009 during the Global Financial Crisis when housing prices fell more than 50% in some markets in the USA and elsewhere.  We only experienced a small downward 'blip' in our prices and then the steady increase began again in the spring of 2009

The graph below shows average single family residential prices of homes for the Toronto Real Estate Board.  Or, maybe you would like to see the average prices of single family residential homes since 1985








I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

Mississauga4Sale.com


Friday, May 06, 2016

Graph showing TREB Historical Average Price Data

Greeting from Fabulous Mississauga!

Below is a Graph showing TREB Historical Average Price Data

  • The graph below shows a graph of sales price data obtained directly from the Toronto Real Estate Board showing the average selling price of single family homes from 1985 to date in our GTA marketplace.
  • Note the historical trends for spring and fall price increases, where spring typically has a larger increase compared to the fall.
  • The benchmark for changes in price is chosen to be the average price of homes at the last height of the market, which was $273,698 in 1989







I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

Mississauga4Sale.com


Thursday, May 05, 2016

You can save money when comparing the 1 year and 5 year mortgage interest rates

Hello from Fabulous Mississauga!

Interest rates are always on people's minds.


A very interesting relationship is between the 1 year and 5 year mortgage interest rates compared over time. 

People often ask me if they should choose the short term rates or lock in for the long term rates with their mortgage. 

The answer is not simple and often depends upon your personal situation and your risk tolerance, read more about locking in your mortgage for the long or short term

The graph below shows you the difference between the 1 year rate and the 5 year rate. The wider the gap, the more opportunity for you to save money by having a short term mortgage.  This may give you some insight into what you may wish to do by comparing the difference between the short and long term rates over the past decade or so and how the difference fluctuates.



I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

Mississauga4Sale.com


Sunday, April 17, 2016

Bank of Canada Leaves interest rate at 0.5%

The Bank of Canada announced on April 13 2016 that they would be leaving the overnight lending rate at 0.5%

This means that consumer lending rates should remain the same.

The bank prime rate that banks charge to the consumer remains at 2.70%

Read more about definition of rates

Below is, in part, what the Bank of Canada Announced on Wednesday April 13 2016:

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent.
Growth in the global economy is expected to strengthen gradually from about 3 per cent in 2016 to 3 1/2 per cent in 2017-18, a weaker outlook than the Bank had projected in its January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). After a slow start to 2016, the US economy is expected to regain momentum, but with a lower profile and a composition that is less favourable for Canadian exports. Financial conditions have improved, partly in response to expectations of more accommodative monetary policy in some major economies.
Prices of oil and other commodities are off their earlier lows and slightly above levels assumed by the Bank in January, but remain well below historical averages. Nonetheless, the Bank expects deeper cuts to investment in Canada’s energy sector than were forecast in January. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar has firmed, reflecting shifting expectations for monetary policy in Canada and the United States, as well as recent increases in commodity prices.
The Canadian economy’s complex structural adjustment to the oil price shock is ongoing and will dampen growth throughout the Bank’s projection horizon. First-quarter GDP growth appears to have been unexpectedly strong, but some of that strength is due to temporary factors and is likely to reverse in the second quarter. Still, it does appear that the positive forces at work in the economy are starting to outweigh those that are negative. Non-resource exports are expected to strengthen, but their profile is weaker than previously projected, in part because of slower foreign demand growth and the higher Canadian dollar. The economy continues to create net new employment, especially in services, despite job losses in resource-intensive regions. In this context, household spending continues to expand moderately. While business investment is still shrinking due to sizeable declines in the energy sector, it is expected to turn positive later this year. The complex adjustment figures importantly in the Bank’s annual review of the economy’s potential, which has resulted in a lower estimated range for potential output growth.

I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

Mississauga4Sale.com


Sunday, January 24, 2016

Bank of Canada leaves key interest rate unchanged at 1/2%

Greetings from Fabulous Mississauga!
The Bank of Canada leaves key interest rate unchanged at 1/2% most anticipated interest rate announcement was on January 20, 2016 and the decision was that the Bank of Canada will be maintaining its overnight rate at 0.5%.  This means there will be no changes to prime rate. 
What does this mean to you, the consumer?  It's likely the major banks in Canada will leave their prime rates that they charge you at 2.70%
The last increase of the prime rate was September 2010 and this the longest stretch of no increase in history. 
Economists have been predicting that the prime rate will remain unchanged until sometime in 2016 and some even longer than that.  There are others who are predicting no change for 5 years or longer.
Many have been predicting the prime rate will increase 'next year' every year for the past 5 years now.
Personally, I believe that the low interest rates that we are currently experiencing are generational.  What I mean is that I predict we will see rates at or near their current levels up to about 5% for the next 15 years.  It's already been 5 years of low interest rates and it will likely remain this way for the next 15, a total of 20 years, a full generation!  That's my prediction.

You can still find discounts on variable rate mortgages as low as prime -0.5% with most banks offering about prime -0.10%. 
You can find 5 year fixed mortgages as low as 2.6% and even slightly lower sometimes.

I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com

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