CREA reports that 2007 of existing home sales sailed to another rrecord

CREA reports it's Another press announcment that existing home sales soar to record in 2007

But demand slumped at the end of the year, signalling a rough start to 2008; average price also hits a new high

The value of existing home sales blew past $100-billion for the first time in 2007, but signs of fatigue late in the year are expected to carry into 2008.

Sales came in at a total of $118.3-billion last year, up 20 per cent from the year before, according to data released yesterday by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).

The average price of an existing home also hit a record $326,055 last year across the 25 major markets tracked by CREA.

Sales peaked in the second quarter, and slowed near the end of the year because there were fewer transactions in Calgary, Vancouver, Ottawa and Montreal, according to CREA. Calgary had the biggest drop in unit sales in December, down 27.8 per cent, compared with the year before.

Some of the country's strongest markets in the latter part of 2007 were Regina, Saskatoon and the province of Newfoundland and Labrador, where year-over-year sales rose 54 per cent, 34 per cent and 27 per cent respectively.

While a sag in December sales activity will likely continue in 2008, the Canadian market is still in much better shape than that of the U.S., said Douglas Porter, deputy chief economist at BMO Nesbitt Burns Inc.

"Even with the slight sag in December, Canadian home sales still easily hit a new annual high last year, in staggering contrast to the deepening trauma south of the border," Mr. Porter said in a research note.

"Housing is very unlikely to provide as much support to Canadian growth in 2008, but it's also highly unlikely to follow the U.S. market's due-south lead either."

For example, a total of 362,934 units were sold in Canada last year, up almost 8 per cent from 2006. This stands in "stark contrast" to the estimated 12.6-per-cent drop in U.S. existing home sales in 2007, Mr. Porter said.

Home prices, which rose 10.8 per cent in 2007 from 2006, are expected to go up at a more modest rate in 2008, according to CREA.

"A decline in inflationary pressures due to slower U.S. economic growth will enable the Bank of Canada to reduce interest rates," said Gregory Klump, CREA chief economist. "Additional interest rate cuts this year will keep resale housing market activity on a strong footing, and prices will continue to rise but at a slower pace."

By the numbers

$118-billion

Total dollar value of residential sales.

362,934

Number of units sold in 2007.

$326,055

Average price of home in 2007.

587,607

Number of new listings in 2007

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Mark

A. Mark Argentino
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RBC reporting Canadian Economy still expanding, but the pace likely to slow

RBC is reporting that the Canadian Economy still expanding, but the pace likely to slow

The economy grew at a 0.2% pace in October and at a 1.4% annualized pace compared to the 2.9% average of the third quarter, setting up for a more moderate quarter for growth following nine months of robust expansion.

Despite the slowdown in job growth in December, Canada's job market pumped out 370,000 new jobs in 2007 and the unemployment rate finished the year near its lowest level in 33 years. The 2007 job increase pushed the number of job created since 2002 above two-million and 82% of those jobs were full-time positions.

Retail activity started the fourth quarter on a firm note, rising 0.1% in October, stronger than market forecasts for a 0.4% decline. The strong labour market and firm wage growth will likely support retail activity as the fourth quarter progresses.

Housing starts slowed to a 187,500 seasonally adjusted annual rate in December from an upwardly revised 233,300 pace in November. Starts were 229,600 in 2007, a 1% gain over 2006. The housing market may cool a bit in 2008 we forecast starts of 210,000 units in the year.

The merchandise trade surplus was larger than expected in November, rising to $3.7 billion. But, with a strong Canadian dollar boosting imports and a sharply slower U.S. economy dampening demand for Canadian exports, we expect the drag coming from the trade sector to be even greater in 2008 than in 2007 and that the economy will grow at a more modest 2.1%.

Canada's core inflation rate moved to its lowest level since April 2006 in November, and held below the 2% target for the second month running. The all-items inflation rate will likely remain above the Bank of Canada's 2% target in the near-term, but continued discounting by Canadian retailers will keep the core rate below the 2% target.

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Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
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Canadian Home Sales: House of the Rising Price

Canadian Home Sales: House of the Rising Price


After a blockbuster year, the Canadian housing market showed some early signs of fatigue as 2007 wore down. Today's December existing home sales data from the Canadian Real Estate Association show that resale activity faded 2.5% from the prior month and was a bit below year-ago levels as well. That's a big turnaround from the steady stream of solid gains through most of last year, which lifted sales to a record annual high and a hefty 7.9% above year-ago levels for all of 2007.

Last year's increase stands in stark contrast to the estimated 12.6% drop in U.S. existing home sales. And while Canadian sales may have lost a bit of momentum late in the year, prices just kept chugging right along. Average home prices were up 13.1% from year-ago levels in December, with 13 of 24 cities reporting double-digit increases. Average price gains have been somewhat skewed up by the mammoth 46% jumps in Regina and Saskatoon, but even the median city saw a 10.4% y/y price increase in December.

All cities west of Lake Superior reported double-digit price increases last year, with Saskatchewan cities firmly taking the baton from Alberta. However, price gains seemed to fade a bit right at the end of the year in Winnipeg and Vancouver. Elsewhere, prices actually gained speed at the end of 2007, despite the growing pressure on central Canada from the surge in the loonie and slowing U.S. growth. Toronto, Ottawa, Sudbury and Quebec City were among those cities in Ontario and Quebec that posted double-digit price gains from a year-ago last month.

Meantime, the previously steaming hot Alberta markets cooled further sales in both Calgary and Edmonton fell steeply from a year ago (Calgary down 27.8% y/y, Edmonton down 20.2% y/y), while new listings continue to rise. That's not a favourable backdrop for prices, although both are still hanging onto double-digit price gains as of December. Still, who would have believed at the start of 2007 that Toronto home prices were poised to rise faster in the next twelve months than in any of Calgary, Edmonton or Vancouver?

The Bottom Line: Even with the slight sag in December, Canadian home sales still easily hit a new annual high last year, in staggering contrast to the deepening trauma south of the border. Housing is very unlikely to provide as much support to Canadian growth in 2008, but it's also highly unlikely to follow the U.S. market's due-south lead either.

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Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
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Funny REMAX Commercial, Traffic Commute Move Closer to Reduce Time on Road, REMAX video commercial

Another RE/MAX Video showing you may wish to move so you can have a shorter commute time!

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A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

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100% Financing now available on Rental Properties

100% Financing now available on Rental Properties

With the recent changes to CMHC rules, mortgage companies can start the new year offering financing of up to 100% on rental properties with 1-2 units, as it is now available!

This is great news for both real estate agents and investors alike! On rental properties with 3-4 units, 95% financing can be offered to qualified individuals.

Let me know if you have any questions, or if you have any questions about financing investment properties.

Let's have a great 2008!

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Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
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Condo sales bring 2007 to a strong finish!

Condo sales bring 2007 to a strong finish!

January 7, 2008 -- Brisk condo sales in December brought the 2007 Greater Toronto Area resale housing market to a strong finish, Toronto Real Estate Board President Maureen O'Neill announced today.

"Typically condominium apartment transactions comprise just over 20 per cent of total sales but in December they accounted for more than a quarter of resale activity," said Ms. O'Neill. "Condos are often more affordable than other housing options and they show particularly well in winter."

Increasing by 12 per cent over the previous year to a total of 93,193 sales, 2007 was the best year ever for GTA resale housing activity and December's 4,646 sales came within two per cent of the best performance for the month, set in 2001.

The average price in December was $394,931, which resulted in an annual increase of seven per cent from the previous year.

The most active areas in December were in the City of Toronto.

Riverdale (E01) saw a 75 per cent increase in transactions compared to December 2006, primarily based on semi-detached home sales.

In the Mimico area of Etobicoke (W06) transactions were up 57 per cent, driven by a significant increase in the sale of condo apartments.

In North York, (C14) sales increased by 44 per cent compared to last December, as a result of strong detached home transactions.

Toronto's Downtown East (C08) experienced a 59 per cent increase compared to the same timeframe a year ago due to strong condominium and semi-detached home sales.

"We saw strong, stable monthly performances throughout 2007, which illustrates that consumers now recognize it's always a great time to buy or sell their next home," said Ms. O'Neill.

See more about condominiums in Mississauga

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Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
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Real Estate Market Update from New Home Building Permit Perspective

Building Permits: From Boom to Gloom?

We don't normally write about a drop in Canadian building permits, even one like the 9.9% setback in November. However, given the suddenly heightened sensitivity over every twitch in the economy, today's decline is worth looking at, especially given the fact that it follows hard on the heels of a 19.6% drop in December housing starts and last week's 12.8 point plunge in the Ivey PMI for the same month. Is this trio of steep sags in admittedly third-tier economic indicators an ominous warning for the Canadian economy? In two words…probably not. While there is plenty to be concerned about on the outlook primarily the softening U.S. economy this sudden run of weak data in very volatile series is likely noise.

Putting it in perspective, building permits in the first 11 months of 2007 were up a hefty 12.4% from year-ago levels even with the November decline. And, keep in mind that the drop in November followed a 7.3% pop in the prior month. The latest setback was concentrated in the non-residential sector, which had been particularly frothy earlier last year (up 15.5% so far in 2007). Residential permits were also off 5% m/m, but were up by a surprisingly sprightly 10.5% year-to-date. (Contrast that with the 25% y/y plunge in U.S. building permits in the same period.)

Most provinces saw declines in November, led by Alberta (-13.8%) and B.C. (-20.0%). However, the top of last year's leaderboard was still crowded with western provinces. Permits in Saskatchewan were up 33.9% last year, with Alberta (15.2%) next in line. Notably, Ontario was in third spot, thanks to a strong 26% rise in non-residential activity.

In a separate release, new home prices were a touch firmer than expected in November, rising 0.5% m/m. This held the annual trend steady at 6.1%. In a sign of just how far-flung home price pressures are in Canada, the two biggest monthly increases were posted in Halifax and Quebec City. In contrast, new prices dipped again in Calgary, where annual price increases of 5% are now below the national average.

The Bottom Line: The Canadian building industry appears to be in the first stages of losing some momentum after a blow-out year in 2007. That's still a far cry from the deepening housing descent in clear view south of the border. In fact, given widespread talk of labour shortages in the Canadian industry, some cooling in the sector in 2008 may not be such a bad thing.

Search the MLS or read more about Interest Rates, Power of Sale Properties, Price Trends and more at my website.

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Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
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Healthy December 2007 Sales equals Best Year Ever

Healthy December Sales = Best Year Ever

January 7, 2008 -- A healthy 4,646 sales in December propelled 2007 sales to a record setting 93,193 sales, TREB President Maureen O'Neill announced today. "Year-end sales are up 12 per cent over last year and up 11 per cent over the 84,145 recorded during 2005, the Toronto market's previous best-ever annual performance."

On a year-over-year basis, prices rose seven per cent to $376,236 from last year's $351,941. The annual time-on-market figure stood at 32 days versus 2006's figure of 34 days, meaning that over the course of the past two years it has taken homes within the GTA barely a month to sell on average.

Breaking down the total, 1,756 sales were reported in TREB's 28 West districts and averaged $357,711; 1,057 sales were reported in the 14 Central districts and averaged $531,366; 771 sales were reported in the 23 North districts and averaged $420,508; and 1,062 sales were reported in TREB's 21 East districts and averaged $302,113.

See all the latest details of Prices in the GTA

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Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
2 FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
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New Information Regarding the Toronto Land Transfer Tax Rebates Provided By City of Toronto

New Information Regarding the Toronto Land Transfer Tax Rebates Provided By City of Toronto

The City of Toronto has indicated that it has been able to make arrangements that will allow purchasers who are eligible for a FULL rebate of the Toronto Land Transfer Tax (TLTT) to close their transactions without paying the TLTT upfront (and then receiving a rebate at a later date). The City previously indicated that these arrangements would not be made until the "spring of 2008", but has now indicated that changes will be made by February 1, 2008, when the Toronto land transfer tax takes effect.

Toronto land transfer tax is not payable on transactions closing before the tax takes effect on February 1, 2008. For transactions closing after the Toronto land transfer tax takes effect on February 1, 2008, the City of Toronto allows for certain rebates, as described below.

Details

According to the City, purchasers who are eligible for a FULL rebate of the Toronto land transfer tax will not have to pay the tax (meaning that they do not have to pay the tax upfront and be rebated later). This includes the following:

• Purchasers who have entered into an Agreement of Purchase and Sale for a property on or before December 31, 2007; and
• First-time home buyers where the total Toronto land transfer tax is $3,725 or less ($3,725 is the amount of TLTT payable on a home purchased for $400,000). First-time home buyers with Toronto land transfer tax payable above the maximum rebate amount of $3,725 (those purchasing homes above $400,000) will be required to pay the total Toronto land transfer tax, and then receive the maximum rebate of $3,725 at a later date from the City. Once all changes have been made to Teranet's collection system, in the spring of 2008, these buyers will only have to pay the balance of the Toronto land transfer tax above $3,725.

More Information

Complete details of the Toronto land transfer tax are available here or by calling the City of Toronto at 416-338-0338.

Read More recent and past articles about Toronto Land Transfer Tax or at my site

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Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
2 FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
› E-MAIL : mark@mississauga4sale.com
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RE/MAX video showing How much is enough? What's a good deal?

RE/MAX video showing questions you would have as a buyer or seller and which real estate company you shold choose. Questions such as: How much is enough? What's a good deal?
Another classic video showing why RE/MAX is the company to use when you sell or buy your next home!

This is another TV commercial from RE/MAX and asks many questions that buyers and sellers have on their mind, such as:

• How much is enough?


• What a good deal?


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• How high should we go?


• Are all agents the same?


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• Which agent is right for me?


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• Sold RE/MAX remax.ca
  

The answers to these and other questions can be found at my website here

Read more about RE/MAX and how REMAX can help you

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Thank you for reading my blog and if there is anything else I can help you with please don't hesitate to contact me,

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

Thinking of Selling? Best Mortgage Rates Current Home Prices Search MLS
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.

Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
( BUS 905-828-3434
2 FAX 905-828-2829 ÈCELL 416-520-1577
› E-MAIL : mark@mississauga4sale.com
8 Website : Mississauga4Sale.com

• Thinking of selling in the next 3 to 6 months? Would you like a Complimentary & Quick Over-The-Net Home Evaluation ?



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