Saturday, April 07, 2007

Common Income Tax mistakes and write-offs


Watch out for these common income tax mistakes that people make

With our hefty tax code, it's almost impossible to keep track of all the deductions available to Canadian taxpayers. So it's not surprising that many people miss out and end up paying too much tax.

According to one expert, even those who hire professionals to complete their returns aren't immune.

"So much is riding on the information you provide," says Evelyn Jacks, president of Knowledge Bureau Inc., and author of numerous books about tax return preparation.

"To get the best results, you have to stay informed. If you don't know what information to give, you won't get all the deductions."

With Jacks' help, we've prepared a list of easy-to-overlook tax deductions and reduction strategies to help you complete this year's return and to prepare for next year's.

1) Write off your safety deposit box
Safety deposit boxes are considered part of the carrying charge of holding securities and are deductible from the revenue earned on those securities. According to Jacks, this deduction, though relatively small, can add up over the course of several years.

The Canada Revenue Agency (CRA) lets you amend prior years' tax returns. If you have overlooked deductions in the past but have kept the receipts, it may pay to file an amendment.


2) Carry forward RRSP contributions
Although the vast majority of people take the deduction for their RRSP contribution as soon as they can, it may pay to wait, as the CRA lets you carry forward your RRSP deduction.

If you think you will be in a higher tax bracket in the coming years, you might consider taking the deduction later when it may have a great impact on reducing your taxes.

3) Get a GST refund on union dues
Although most people know union dues are tax deductible, the GST paid on those dues qualifies as a direct tax credit, which means you should get all of it back.

4) Write off your moving expenses
You can deduct moving expenses if you are transferred or if you move to take a new job. But according to Jacks, you should still hang on to your receipts even if you don't find a job right away.

Those deductions will still be valid when you begin to generate employment or self-employment income.

5) Borrow to invest, not to buy a home
A huge portion of typical household debt is comprised of mortgage payments. But many families that owe money on their homes also own investments or businesses. If they do, they are missing out on a big potential tax break.

Because mortgage interest payments are not tax deductible in Canada, as they are in the U.S., a far better strategy is to borrow money against your investments instead of your house. Then your interest payments will be deductible against revenue you earn from those investments.

6) Track all business expenses
Although most small- and medium-sized businesses have good internal controls in place to track their spending and expenses, most self-employed individuals do not. Self-employed individuals should keep all their work-related receipts.

Seemingly minor expenses such as parking fees, meal expenses, (when the object of your meeting is to discuss business) or office supplies add up when accumulated over the course of the year.

7) Split income with your spouse
In many households, one spouse earns more than the other and is consequently taxed at a higher marginal rate. In these cases it pays to transfer income to the lower wage-earner whenever feasible.

There are numerous strategies for doing so, but the rules are complex. Your accountant should be able to help.

8) Contribute to a spousal RRSP
Spousal RRSPs are an excellent way to split retirement income. In fact, you can contribute any part of your regular allowable RRSP contribution to your spouse's plan, even if he or she has already made a contribution that year.

9) Balance capital gains and losses
When you sell an investment that has increased in value, whether it is a stock or bond, you will likely have to pay tax on the accumulated capital gain.

Take this opportunity to sell any money-losing investments you may have, and apply the capital gain against the capital loss that you are taking. You may be able to avoid some, or possibly all, of the tax owing.

10) Keep up to date
It is unrealistic for most Canadians to become tax experts, but that doesn't mean you should play the helpless puppy. If you don't understand something about you taxes, find the answer.

Read more about taxes and the benefits of real estate home ownership
Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Friday, April 06, 2007

Strong Start to Spring Real Estate Market in the GTA


Strong start to GTA real estate spring market


April 4, 2007 -- Strong resale housing activity in March got the spring market off to a healthy start, Toronto Real Estate Board President Dorothy Mason announced today. A total of 8,518 transactions took place in the month, nearly on par with the 8,707 sales reported last March.

“The market is in great shape, and we’re seeing very strong results on a consistent basis,” Mrs. Mason said. “So far 2007 is slightly ahead of last year’s sales pace, and we’re right on track for another solid year.”

In Scarborough’s West Hill neighbourhood (E10), strong sales of detached homes led to an overall sales increase of 27 per cent compared to March 2006.

Etobicoke’s Mimico / New Toronto neighbourhood (W06) saw transactions increase by 45 per cent compared to last March, fueled by strong detached home and condo apartment activity.

A jump in condominium activity in North York Centre (C14) helped overall sales to a 14 per cent increase compared to March of a year ago.

Overall sales in Thornhill (N02) increased by 16 per cent compared to last March, led by detached home sales.

“The GTA continues to have strong employment numbers and a healthy economy,” Mrs. Mason added.

“Housing activity is solid and prices are steadily on the rise, so it remains an excellent time to be in the market.”

Read more about the real estate market and see prices

Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Thursday, April 05, 2007

Mortgage Interest rates may be falling - good news if you have gone short!


Mortage Interest Rates expected to Fall
Some of the so called "Experts" are now saying that mortgage rates will fall this year!

Many experts contend mortgage interest rates, still near their historic lows, will fall as much as 1% within the next year. Mortgage rates are generally tied to bond market yields which, in turn, are tied to the overnight lending rates that central banks such as the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve charge their best clients, such as major banks.

"The single most important thing ... is the U.S. short-term interest rate, determined by the Federal Reserve," says Brad Willock, senior portfolio manager with RBC Asset Management Inc.

Central bank rates in North America were near 20% in the early 1980s, then fell in the wake of terrorist attacks in 2001, to 1% in the United States and 2% in Canada. Overnight rates crept up until June, 2006, remaining on hold since then at 5.25% in the United States and 4.25% in Canada.

Financial institutions, which often try to anticipate central bank moves, reduced long-term mortgage rates slightly in recent weeks, putting fixed rates around 6.5% for terms from six months to five years, and variable rates around 6%. In its March meeting, the Federal Reserve kept its rate unchanged at 5.25%, sending out a mixed message that inflation isn't a big concern but a recession is possible.

"The unemployment rate in the U.S. is at a 30-year low, around 4.5%, and the U.S. central bank won't cut rates when it's so easy to get a job," Mr. Willock says. "But right now it appears to us, given inflation and the economy, that this rate shouldn't be this high much longer. We anticipate the rate will fall in May, June or July, down a point or so over the next year or 18 months."

Benjamin Tal, senior economist with CIBC World Markets, agrees. "We see relatively settled mortgage rates over the next few months with the potential of actually lower short-term rates, given the slowing of the U.S. and Canadian [economies]. Longer term, we believe interest rates will remain relatively low and the next peak will be lower than the previous peak."

Nick Majendie, chief portfolio manager with Canaccord Capital, also sees rates falling. "We think the economy is weakening quite rapidly and could even be close to a recession as we speak. The key reason is that the U.S. is already in recession in the housing and auto sectors. You haven't seen the bottom yet, in our view.

"I think there will be enough evidence of economic weakness by the middle of the year that it will give them the cover to reduce rates. The Fed fund rate is 5.25%. I see it staying at 5.25% until the middle of the year, then the Fed reducing that rate by 1% through to March of '08. The cost of labour has come down globally, but as China and India get more middle class, their wages will go up and that will put upwards pressure on inflation globally."

Aron Gampel, deputy chief economist with Scotiabank, feels rates will fall a bit but could spike at the hint of bad news.

"Our view is that interest rates are going to continue to move lower, probably half a percentage point, potentially even more, between now and the third quarter or year-end, when they bottom," Mr. Gampel says. "We've got the Bank of Canada easing twice, once in the third quarter and once in the fourth quarter. If you're looking at mortgage rates, the balance is shifting to slightly lower and, at worst, they will stay the same. But these markets can shift on a dime and there are a lot of risk factors out there -- a sharply weaker U.S. dollar, which could occur, could force interest rates up and limit how much rate decline you get in long-term mortgage rates."

Read more about Current Mortage Interest Rates
Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph


For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Wednesday, April 04, 2007

Interest Rates - current sentiment and future forecast

I was browsing the web this morning searching for interest rate news and came across this very interesting website in the US

The site is called bankrate.com and each week they survey mortgage experts to gauge the state of mortgage rates over the next 30 to 45 days: Will rates rise, fall or remain relatively unchanged?

This week (March 29 - April 4) the experts say: Rates probably aren't going anywhere.

PANEL:

Down: 29%
Up: 21%
Unchanged: 50%

This week, half of the panelists believe mortgage rates will remain relatively unchanged (plus or minus 2 basis points) over the next 35 to 45 days. The rest are evenly split among those who think rates will rise and those who believe rates will fall.

They even graph paste results so you may see trends in what the 'experts' are thinking and predicting.

This may be something that you want to look at on a regular basis as the experts tend to know where the rates are heading.

You may see the current rates here in Canada and the best mortgage interest rates at this page

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

A closer look at commissions from the Toronto Real Estate Board Perspective


A closer look at commissions from the Toronto Real Estate Board Perspective

A closer look at real estate commissions

The Toronto Area real estate market has shown steady growth for nearly 10 years, resulting in positive outcomes for consumers, the real estate business and the economy as a whole. However, this period of growth has also led to a number of misconceptions about the business.

Perhaps the most common misconception is that in a hot market, properties "sell themselves" and the REALTOR® has less work to do in order to earn commissions. Many consumers are not aware of how the commission structure works, and given the significant amount of money changing hands in a real estate transaction it is natural for them to want to know where their money is going.
Let’s take a brief look at how commissions work.

When a consumer decides to sell their home, they often agree to pay their chosen salesperson (actually the brokerage) a certain percentage of the selling price of their home upon completion of the sale. This rate is generally specified in the Listing Agreement that is signed by the homeowner and the listing salesperson. As in any business transaction, prior to signing an agreement the consumer should firmly establish the level of service they will be receiving and the fees they will be required to pay.

When a home sells, commission is initially paid to the real estate brokerage that employs the listing salesperson. In most cases a portion of this money - often half - is immediately forwarded to the company working on behalf of the buyer for services provided in bringing the transaction to fruition. The remaining funds, meanwhile, may be distributed in a number of ways depending on the business model of the listing brokerage.

Some brokerages retain a portion of the listing salesperson’s commission for operational costs like company management, rent, office staff, employee training, franchise fees and so on. Other companies may forward all of the commission to the salesperson but charge a significant monthly fee.

A good portion of the commission earned goes toward maintaining the business operation and, of course, marketing and selling the home. Keep in mind that most real estate professionals are paid solely on commission, with no base salary. Their livelihood relies on the level of service they provide their customers and clients.

It is also important to understand that as the real estate market grows, so too does competition for commissions. An active real estate market typically brings in a large influx of new registrants that reduce market share for each individual. For example, the total number of sales in 2005 was 24 per cent higher than in 2001, the beginning of the most recent “hot market.” By comparison, the number of Toronto Real Estate Board Members during that time increased by 33 per cent, to over 23,000 active Members. The 7,000 transactions, on average, that take place each month are divided among these Members. (Mark's comment, if you do the math, that means that each agent is selling 1 home every 3 months, not enough to live on - this means that there are many registered agents that are not selling many homes, make sure you work with an agent that is selling at least 2 homes per month and is 'in the business'!)

Article courtesy of TREB www.torontorealestateboard.com

Read more about real estate commissions

Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Tuesday, April 03, 2007

Canadian Federal Budget Highlights from last month


Canadian Federal Budget Highlights
Finance Minister Jim Flaherty delivered the 2007 Federal Budget on March 19, 2007. In case you haven’t had the chance to review all the proposed changes, here’s a brief overview of the key tax measures that may be of interest to you.

Please note that these proposed changes are not law at the present time. The following is provided for information purposes and should not be relied upon as tax advice. Please consult your tax professional.

Age Limit For Maturing Retirement Plans
It is proposed that seniors will have until age 71, an additional two years, instead of age 69 to convert their Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSP) and Registered Pension Plans (RPP) into retirement income plans such as a Registered Retirement Income Fund (RRIF). Moreover, seniors reaching age 70 and 71 in 2007 or 2008 will not be required to make the usual minimum withdrawals from their RRIFs and will be able to make RRSP contributions if they have contribution room. As well, RPP or Deferred Profit Sharing Plan (DPSP) annuity payments may be deferred until the end of the year in which the recipient turns 71.

Registered Education Savings Plan (RESP)
The annual RESP contribution limit of $4,000 will be eliminated, and the lifetime RESP contribution limit for each beneficiary will be increased to $50,000 from $42,000. The Canada Education Savings Grant (CESG) will be increased to $500 from $400 per year. If a beneficiary has unused grant room from a prior year, the maximum CESG for a year will be $1,000. The lifetime CESG limit of $7,200 will remain unchanged. The CESG increase will not be paid to RESPs until the relevant legislation has become law and the delivery systems are put in place. The requirements for part-time students to qualify to receive Education Assistance Payments (EAPs) from their RESPs will be relaxed.

Registered Disability Savings Plan (RDSP)
The Registered Disability Savings Plan (RDSP) is proposed to debut in 2008 and is intended to provide for the financial security of persons with severe disabilities. RDSP contributions will not be deductible and will not be taxable when withdrawn from the RDSP. Contributions can be made until the end of year when the beneficiary turns 59, subject to a lifetime maximum of $200,000. The government will match contributions to an RDSP with a Canada Disability Savings Grant of up to 100 percent, 200 percent or 300 percent, depending on family income. The government will pay up to $1,000 per year as Canada Disability Savings Bonds to RDSPs of beneficiaries with low or modest family incomes.

Registered Plan Qualified Investments Changes
The list of qualified investments for RRSPs and other registered plans is proposed to expand to include certain investment grade debt obligations and any security listed on a designated stock exchange, except any futures contract or derivative instrument where the holder’s risk of loss may exceed the holder’s cost. For example, many foreign exchange-traded funds will be qualified investments.

Public Transit Pass Tax Credit The 2006 federal budget introduced a non-refundable tax credit for monthly public transit passes. The 2007 budget proposes, effective the beginning of 2006, to extend the tax credit to weekly public transit passes and the upcoming cost-per-trip electronic payment cards, subject to certain conditions.

Real Estate Prices in the GTA
Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Monday, April 02, 2007

What is a second suite in a home in Toronto?


What is a second suite in Toronto?

A second suite is a self-contained unit (rental or rent-free) in a single-detached or semi-detached house. Most second suites are basement apartments. They have also been called granny flats, in-law suites and accessory apartments.

Are second suites new?

No! In the past, second suites were permitted in some areas of the City (York, East York, and parts of former Etobicoke, North York and Toronto). Some parts of the City have had a long experience with this form of housing. As well, provincial legislation, in force between July 1994 and November 1995, allowed for the creation of second suites in all areas of the province.

Why has it taken a year for the City's second suites by-law to come into effect?

In July 1999, City Council adopted the second suites by-law. This by-law was appealed to the Ontario Municipal Board (OMB) by a number of residents' groups and individuals. The OMB held a hearing on the appeals in February 2000. The OMB issued a decision in April approving the City's by-law but directed that two amendments be made. The amendments dealt with: (1) parking provisions in some neighbourhoods in the former Toronto, and (2) building alterations.

The final by-law was approved by Order of the OMB on July 6, 2000. As a result of the Order, the second suites by-law (including the amendments) is now in effect.

Where are second suites permitted in the City?

The new by-law permits second suites in all single-detached and semi-detached homes throughout the new City of Toronto -- with certain conditions.

What are some of the conditions that apply to second suites?

Some of the conditions include:

the second suite must be self-contained with its own kitchen and bathroom.

the house, including any additions, must be at least 5 years old;

the floor area of the second suite must be smaller than the remaining unit;

in most cases, homes with a second suite must have at least 2 parking spaces and parking can be in tandem (one behind the other). There is an exception for parts of the former City of Toronto (R2, R3 and R4 districts) where only 1 parking space is required for a house with a second suite. Please contact the City of Toronto's Urban Planning and Development Services Department to determine if a property is located in a R2, R3, or R4 district.

Before planning any changes to the outside appearance of a dwelling the homeowner should contact the City of Toronto's Urban Planning and Development Services Department; and

all new second suites must comply with the Ontario Building Code and require a building permit. Existing second suites must comply with the Fire Code as well as zoning and property standards.

How can I find out if an existing second suite complies with the regulations?

The unit will have to be inspected by Fire Department staff. There is a fee for the inspection and you may be required to upgrade the suite to meet the code requirements and other standards. Contact the City's Urban Planning and Development Services Department for more information (see phone numbers below).

Does the City provide grants or loans to encourage the creation of second suites?

There is currently no grant or loan program for second suites. The City is discussing the potential for a program with senior levels of government. TREB's Government Relations staff is monitoring this initiative and will inform members if the City implements a program.

Will a second suite impact property taxes?

In most cases, there will be little impact on property taxes. A major exception would be where the second suite is created by constructing an addition, thereby significantly adding to the value of a house.

For specific zoning, property standards, or fire and building code questions please contact the City of Toronto's Urban Planning and Development Services Department:

East York
(416) 397-4591

Etobicoke
(416) 394-8055


North York
(416) 395-7000


Scarborough
(416) 396-7071

Toronto
(416) 392-7522


York
(416) 394-2535


Article courtesy of TREB www.torontorealestateboard.com

Read more about basement apartments in Mississauga



Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Sunday, April 01, 2007

For Sale Signs are now posted in windows of condo buildings!

See where they are posting for sale signs in Manhattan!

does this look like a typical street in your neighbouhood?



and this conflict of duty






just playing around a little on April Fools Day, all the best! Mark

Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Saturday, March 31, 2007

Royal Bank RBC Economics Research - PROVINCIAL OUTLOOK - Latest Edition


Rebalancing regional growth patterns
Our provincial forecasts are more rooted than ever before in the strength of our conviction that the gap between growth in the more heavily resource based provinces and central Canada will narrow during 2007-08.
There are four key reasons for this.

First up is fiscal policy, which has tilted in favour of stimulating central Canada with the recent federal budget funding a federal government spending surge in Ontario. Some of this will begin to flow in 2007, while much of it will carry on for many years. On the heels of Quebec’s election on March 26, six other provinces and the feds are heading towards elections either this year or next (all but British
Columbia, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick).

Despite higher federal transfers that are likely to be put towards tax relief, Quebec actually gets unfairly criticized for overspending when, in fact, its rate of growth in program spending has been the second weakest of all the provinces in the past four years. British Columbia opted for consumer-oriented tax relief in its budget and has had the weakest spending growth of all provinces. The remaining question mark is Ontario’s government, which appears to have exercised some spending restraint but may be lowballing revenues to leave room for pre-election off-budget spending.

Second is the investment picture where the gap between the west and central Canada is likely to become more balanced. According to Statistics Canada’s
recent investment intentions survey, the country is in the middle of an investment
surge, albeit one that is moderating and with the public sector doing much
of the heavy lifting. This survey was done before recent budgetary measures
that add to private-sector investment incentives, particularly for manufacturers
that now face two-year write-offs on equipment spending.

Third, we firmly believe that central Canada’s manufacturing base will stabilize and that its export prospects will improve. Strong global growth, overblown concerns about the health of the U.S. economy, an expected depreciation in the currency and sustained lower-than-peak commodity input prices should all gradually turn central Canada’s manufacturing base around except for labour-intensive
sectors facing a China-related market share battle for U.S. imports. A cooling
in U.S. dollar-denominated commodity prices will still leave room for attractive
exploration, appraisal and development activity across the west.

Fourth, despite concerns about the phasing out of accelerated depreciation on oil sands projects, the impact won’t be felt for many years, if at all, given current project commitments. The near-term focus remains on those factors pointing to moderately weaker growth prospects in the energy-rich provinces — cooler
commodity prices causing weaker provincial royalties and surpluses, softer profit
growth and less upward pressure on wages. For the prairie provinces, attractive
mining and hydro prospects, a decent early read on crop conditions and farm
subsidies in the recent federal budget should further assist near-term growth.
For our latest macroeconomic and financial market forecast report, go to: www.rbc.com/economics/market/pdf/fcst.pdf

Source: "Financial Markets Monthly", Economics Departnment, RBC Financial Group.

Read more about the economics of real estate in Ontario and the GTA

Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1

BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Friday, March 30, 2007

Can the Media drive Real Estate Market Prices Down?


What is the impact on the media on the real estate markets?

I think you will find this an informative perspective on the real estate market, but a long article to read. I found it a very interesting article because it echo's the sentiments down in the US and these types of articles seems to rear their head because the markets are very soft throughout the US.

When our Canadian markets last experienced a downward trend, from about 1990 to 1994, there were many negative articles about the state of the real estate market and I believe that this had a very strong influence on people's decisions to NOT purchase a home or even make a move. I firmly believe that the press influences if not drives our real estate marketplace in the GTA. The next time there is some skepticism in the press, just watch how the local real estate market stalls.

Enjoy, your comments are always appreciated!
Mark

Media coverage can dampen real estate market

Fact or fiction: The media decides whether you buy or sell a home.

Sounds ridiculous, even insulting. But many real estate professionals insist there is a psychological component to buying a house -- and that a lot of negative publicity about the housing market can have an effect on whether consumers will buy, sell or sit.

Chances are, when you are thinking about buying a home (and you're really honest with yourself), factors such as your credit rating, income, debt load, the available houses in your market and the prices in your market are going to have more of an impact than what you read or hear over your morning coffee.

But that's not to say the broadcast and printed word don't have some impact.

Many blame the media for the slowdown that hit the housing market in 2006. "What happened to us is the media," says Ellen Renish, regional vice president for the National Association of Realtors, or NAR.

Stories about a real estate "bubble" and its potential to burst caused consumers to "not do anything," she says. "And nothing happened. The bubble stories really stopped things for three months," Renish says. "It was pretty scary."

Looking for deals

When it comes to sales, the biggest factor is "the local economy," says Dick Gaylord, president-elect of the NAR. "But I can tell you that almost every buyer I talk to today thinks they're going to get a phenomenal deal."

In the Midwest this year, one big yardstick is job growth torquing the force of supply and demand. "If jobs come, there will be buyers," says Lawrence Yun, a senior economist with the National Association of Realtors. "And if jobs don't come, there won't be buyers."

"But I think the media does have an influence," he says. "I get calls from Realtors who have been working with buyers for months -- then the buyer reads or hears something that predicts a price crash or large inventory and the buyer decides to wait. The media is trying to portray the reality of the market."

But many times "there tends to be a slight slant that tends to scare potential buyers," he says. "People start placing a lot of reliance on what they read, particularly from major papers."

This is one reason it pays to investigate on your own. Especially since neighborhoods and price ranges in various areas of a region, state and town can be vastly different.

Also, talk with a couple of pros in your area. "You might find out that the market is better than you were led to believe in the press," says David Ledebuhr, regional vice president for the National Association of Realtors.

The long-range view
Real estate professionals would like to see more of the long-range perspective in real estate media coverage.

The real estate market is cyclical, says Ron Phipps, broker for Phipps Realty in Warwick, R.I. "For those of us who've been doing this for a while, this is a normal cycle," he says of the current buyer's market climate. "It's not particularly bad."

He worries that the media "amplifies minor changes," he says. "The media is like the wind: It creates white caps, it creates a lot of excitement -- which can cause people to be overwhelmed."

While talk of a real estate bubble "is great theater," the hard fact is that most people buy a home to have a place to live, Phipps says. The price will differ according to what a buyer can afford, but that basic need is always there.

Real estate professionals have also seen a wide range of interest rates in the past two or three decades. And while nobody likes to see climbing rates and the bigger mortgage payments that result, some agents remember when rates for a typical home were in the teens. And, they also remember that lower home prices added some balance to the equation.

"I sold houses when the rates were 16, 18 percent," says Renish.

"And I bought my first house at 9 percent," she recalls.

What part does the economy play?

From a practical standpoint, many of the areas of the country that are seeing depressed growth or declining prices can link it to one or more of several factors: a shrinking jobs market or faltering local economy (including a higher number of foreclosures); overbuilding; or speculators who bought to make income or quick profit and dumped the properties when interest rates started to rise or prices started to decline.

Mike Fratantoni, senior economist with the Mortgage Bankers Association, agrees that jobs are the No. 1 factor when it comes to the health of the home market. "Absolutely, the job market is most important," Fratantoni says. "And we think that the Fed's successive rate increases have not quite worked their way through the economy yet. We do anticipate that as these work into the economy, we will see some slight increase in unemployment," likely by the middle of 2007.

And while the media likely has "some psychological aspect" for the buyer and seller, says Fratantoni, "at the end of the day it's the fundamentals" like affordability, a strong job market and income growth that signal buyers that "it's a good time to get in," he says.

When it comes to buying and selling, "I do think there is something about psychology," says Nicolas Retsinas, director of the Joint Center for Housing Studies at Harvard University.

Nationally, home prices increased 60 percent in the period between 2001 and 2006, he says. "If you bought a home five years ago, you're in pretty good shape as far as equity building."

When it comes to the recent decline, "part of it was psychology," Retsinas says. "We had seen interest rates heading up. As we look back, at some point buyers started to wonder, 'Will these exist tomorrow?'"

In addition, home prices had been escalating so much faster than salaries that "the mortgages couldn't bridge the gap between incomes and house prices," he says. "It's almost as if house prices had to take a breather."

All real estate is local
One common complaint from real estate professionals regarding media coverage is the failure to understand and communicate that all real estate is local. So while a bubble, hot market, flipping trend or price decrease gets a lot of media attention, it doesn't mirror the entire market.

"It's a reflection of something going on in one area, in one dynamic spot," says Dave Dalzell, a regional vice president for the NAR. But consumers hear it and get concerned, he says. Then "we have to take and analyze the neighborhood" where they're buying, he says. "My town just had the biggest jump in home values in 20 years," he says. "We think it will slow down some, but won't lose money."

Ken Libby, owner/broker of Stowe Realty in Stowe, Vt., echoes the thought. "The only argument I have with the media is when people try to paint one picture for the whole country," he says. "And you can't do that." By Dana Dratch • Bankrate.com

Read more about the real estate market trends and current status.



Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

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