Showing posts with label Interest-Rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Interest-Rates. Show all posts

Wednesday, January 21, 2015

Bank of Canada Interest Rate Cut Shock with Article with videos and more information

Hello from Beautiful Mississauga!

The link below is to a very good article about today's Bank of Canada Interest rate cuts, how the markets reacted so far, with some great graphs in it, make sure your volume is turned low as there is an auto-load video

the graph near the bottom is also very interesting where they say the Bank of Canada "was the first to blink"  - if you watch the other videos or listen to the Bank of Canada Governor's comments he uses many euphemisms that allow him to stay 'non-committal' on many key issues - this is the Bank's way of not signaling their future intentions to the marketplace - so interesting!



Borrowers, current and pending, will be very pleased about this quarter percent rate drop

The Bank's announcement today to reduce rates was a real shock to the Canadian Economy and the world, could prove to be a very forward thinking decision in light of other indicators in the economy!

All the Best!
Mark

Bank of Canada Rate announcement to drop Prime Rate by .25%

Hello!

Just when you thought that you could predict the future, the Bank of Canada announces a prime interest rate cut!

After nearly 4.5 years, the bank rate has finally changed.  I'm sure very few predicted the rate would drop. 

The prime rate is now 3/4% and the prime rate banks charge to customers is now 2.75%  The previous rate was 3%  This is unexpected news and good for anyone looking to borrow soon or having a mortgage coming up for renewal any time soon!

This is in direct contrast to all the recent announcements and many economists saying that the economy is bullish and they anticipate a rise in the rate in late 2015 or 2016, so much for the experts!

This is an excerpt below,

Enjoy!
Mark



The Bank of Canada today announced that it is lowering its target for the overnight rate by one-quarter of one percentage point to 3/4 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/2 per cent. This decision is in response to the recent sharp drop in oil prices, which will be negative for growth and underlying inflation in Canada.
Inflation has remained close to the 2 per cent target in recent quarters. Core inflation has been temporarily boosted by sector-specific factors and the pass-through effects of the lower Canadian dollar, which are offsetting disinflationary pressures from slack in the economy and competition in the retail sector. Total CPI inflation is starting to reflect the fall in oil prices.
Oil’s sharp decline in the past six months is expected to boost global economic growth, especially in the United States, while widening the divergences among economies. Persistent headwinds from deleveraging and lingering uncertainty will influence the extent to which some oil-importing countries benefit from lower prices. The Bank’s base-case projection assumes oil prices around US$60 per barrel. Prices are currently lower but our belief is that prices over the medium term are likely to be higher.
Read the entire report here:
http://www.bankofcanada.ca/2015/01/fad-press-release-2015-01-21/

I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com
Mississauga4Sale.com
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Wednesday, December 03, 2014

Bank of Canada Interest Rate stays steady December 3rd 2014

Good morning from Beautiful Mississauga!

The Bank of Canada made their interest rate announcement and once again they maintain their overnight rate at 1%.

The interest rate has been unchanged since September 2010 adding to the longest period of no change in the interest rate in history.

This means the prime rate to consumers remains unchanged at 3.00%

Some economists have been predicting that the prime rate will remain unchanged until sometime in 2016

My prediction is now for mid 2016 before we will see an increase in the rate of 3%   Many are saying longer.

I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.comMississauga4Sale.com
 

Wednesday, October 22, 2014

Bank of Canada keeps prime rate at 1%

The Bank of Canada announced today at their regular meeting that they are keeping the prime rate at 1%

This means that the Bank rate charged to customers at the major banks will remain at 3%

It's been over 4 years since the rate was pinned at 1% and the trend appears to be continuing.

The full release is below.
Mark


The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
Inflation in Canada is close to the 2 per cent target. Core inflation rose more rapidly than was expected in the Bank’s July Monetary Policy Report (MPR), mainly reflecting unexpected sector-specific factors. Total CPI inflation is evolving broadly as expected, as the pickup in core inflation was largely offset by lower energy prices. Underlying inflationary pressures are muted, given the persistent slack in the economy and the continued effects of competition in the retail sector.
Although the outlook remains for stronger momentum in the global economy in 2015 and 2016, the profile is weaker than in July and growth prospects are diverging across regions. Persistent headwinds continue to buffet most economies and growth remains reliant on exceptional policy stimulus. Against a background of ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and lower confidence, energy prices have declined and there has been a significant correction in global financial markets, resulting in lower government bond yields. Despite weakness elsewhere, the U.S. economy is gaining traction, particularly in sectors that are beneficial to Canada’s export prospects.  The U.S. dollar has strengthened against other major currencies, including the Canadian dollar.
In this context, Canada’s exports have begun to respond. However, business investment remains weak. Meanwhile, the housing market and consumer spending are showing renewed vigour and auto sales have reached record highs, all fuelled by very low borrowing rates. The lower terms of trade will have a tempering effect on income.
Canada’s real GDP growth is projected to average close to 2 1/2 per cent over the next year before slowing gradually to 2 per cent by the end of 2016, roughly the estimated growth rate of potential output. As global headwinds recede, confidence in the sustainability of domestic and global demand should improve and business investment should pick up. Together with a moderation in the growth of household spending, this is expected to gradually return Canada’s economy to a more balanced growth path. As the economy reaches its full capacity in the second half of 2016, both core and total CPI inflation are projected to be about 2 per cent on a sustained basis.
Weighing all of these factors, the Bank judges that the risks to its inflation projection are roughly balanced. Meanwhile, the financial stability risks associated with household imbalances are edging higher. Overall, the balance of risks falls within the zone for which the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate and therefore the target for the overnight rate remains at 1 per cent.


I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.comMississauga4Sale.com
  • Thinking of selling your home in the next 3 to 6 months?  Would you like a Complimentary & Quick Over-The-Net Home Evaluation ?
    www.mississauga4sale.com/internet-evaluation.htm
  • Power of Sales and Foreclosureswww.mississauga4sale.com/Power-Sales-Bank-Sales-Alert-Request.htm
  • If you have not already signed up to receive my monthly real estate newsletter, you may do so here: On-Line Real Estate Newsletter sign up
    www.mississauga4sale.com/popupquestion.htm
  • See seasonal housing patternswww.mississauga4sale.com/TREBprice.htm
  • Would you like me to send you a desk or wall Calendar?
    www.mississauga4sale.com/Calendar-Order-Form.htm
 

Monday, October 13, 2014

Are Mortgage Interest Rates going up to down and should you buy hold and sell investment real estate?

I received an email from a reader and thought I would share the question and my answer with you.

The question from Aijaz was:


I love your site.
Thanks for keeping the data up to date.
Lots of good data on it.

Question. Do u think with interest rates going up possibly mid 2015.
This will cause a correction in pricing.

What is your opinion on the over value of canadas house pricing.
Some forecasters saying 20% drop in pricing.

Are you currently on the Buy, hold, or sell model for investment property?

My answer was:


Hello Aijaz

Thank you for your email and kind comments.

You are asking very good questions.  Unfortunately, nobody can predict the future but these are my thoughts and opinion.

I can see the prime rate rising to 3.25 and maybe 3.5% by the end of next year, at the earliest.  Even if/when this happens, the banks will raise their rates only slightly, I don't see them keeping in step with the Bank of Canada Rate. 

Rates will only rise to keep inflation in check.  I don't think that rates will cause a correction in pricing.  Yes, slightly fewer people will be able to enter the real estate market due to a price increase, but I don't feel this will have a large impact on our resale market.

I believe that it will be some other event or combination of events that will cause our real estate market to have a correction.  Our rise in prices has been unprecedented and nearly constantly upward since 1995.  Logic says this cannot continue forever.  Eventually the market increase in prices will slow and possibly retreat.  When this will happen is anyone's guess.  My opinion is that we will have a gradual slowdown of the market prices in late 2015 and into 2016, maybe only a 2 or 3% increase over that period rather compared to previous year over year increases of 4 to 10%  You have to compare figures from the same period previous year as prices fluctuate during the year and you need to watch the month over month trend to get a handle on real estate prices.  Year over year increases are what I am referring to.

Even if rates increase 0.5 or 1% we are still in extremely low interest rate period compared to last 50 years.  I think that these low rates will be with us until at least 2020 and possibly longer.  There is no reason for the rates to rise to 8% or higher and if they did, the economy would have great difficulty absorbing this shock and may crumble and correct as you and many are suggesting.  I feel this is a generational phenomenon, low rates may be with us for 20 years. Rates have been exceptionally low since 2009 and I see rates staying in this very low range well into the 2020's

Our real estate market, similar to the stock market, can have a major correction in a very short period of time.  Our TSX stock market has dropped (corrected - good grief I don't like that word, as it's a drop/loss/fall, not really a correction) nearly 10% since the high in mid September.  In a similar way, if buyers stop paying the prices that sellers are asking and the real estate market softens then we can easily have a correction in the average price of 10% or $60,000 on the current average price of nearly $600,000  It would take about 2 to 4 months for this correction to happen.

I am always of the mindset to buy and hold for the longer term, at least 5 years and more like 10 to 20 or longer.  Buy real estate, hold, reduce original amortization to 20 years, use bi-weekly accelerated payments, pay yourself by making up the $100 to $300 per month shortfall with your savings and let the tenants pay off your investment properties in 15 to 20 years.  Then you can enjoy the income in your later years.

I hope this helps.

If you have more questions, please let me know.

Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family!
Mark



Wednesday, September 03, 2014

Bank of Canada leaves overnight interest rate at 1% - thus prime rate at your bank will stay at 3%

The Bank of Canada announced today that they are leaving the overnight interest rate (the rate that banks charge other banks to hold their money overnight) at 1% - thus prime rate at your bank will stay at 3%

This is good news if you are thinking of borrowing money

The press release began:

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
Inflation is close to the 2 per cent target and is evolving as the Bank anticipated in its July Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Recent data reinforce the Bank’s view that the earlier pickup in inflation was attributable to the temporary effects of higher energy prices, exchange rate pass-through, and other sector-specific factors rather than to any change in domestic economic fundamentals.
Read more at http://www.bankofcanada.ca/2014/09/fad-press-release-2014-09-03/

I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate

RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987

BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829  CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.comMississauga4Sale.com
  • Thinking of selling your home in the next 3 to 6 months?  Would you like a Complimentary & Quick Over-The-Net Home Evaluation ?
    www.mississauga4sale.com/internet-evaluation.htm
  • Power of Sales and Foreclosureswww.mississauga4sale.com/Power-Sales-Bank-Sales-Alert-Request.htm
  • If you have not already signed up to receive my monthly real estate newsletter, you may do so here: On-Line Real Estate Newsletter sign up
    www.mississauga4sale.com/popupquestion.htm
  • See seasonal housing patternswww.mississauga4sale.com/TREBprice.htm
  • Would you like me to send you a desk or wall Calendar?
    www.mississauga4sale.com/Calendar-Order-Form.htm
 

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Bank of Canada leaves key rate in August 2014 at 3% again!

The Bank of Canada has announced again that they are keeping the prime lending rate at 3%

As expected, the Bank of Canada announced today that it is keeping the benchmark rate unchanged. Great news if you’ve got a variable-rate mortgage; the prime rate stays at 3%.

This is good news for borrows or people with variable rate mortgages

I hope you are enjoying your summer!
Mark


Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Wednesday, June 04, 2014

Bank of Canada announced today that they are leaving the key bank prime overnight interest rate at 1%

The Bank of Canada announced today that they are leaving the key bank prime overnight interest rate at 1%

This rate has remained fixed at this 1% since 2010 and there are no signs of increasing the rate in the future.

The major banks will most likely continue to keep their bank prime rate at 3% and this will be the key amount that all other mortgage rates, loan and deposit rates will remain relative to.

Banks can offer lower or higher rates to customers regardless of the Bank of Canada rate, but they often will move in concert with the Bank Rate.

See the entire press release below.

All the best!
Mark

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
Total CPI inflation has moved up to around the 2 per cent target, sooner than anticipated in the Bank’s April Monetary Policy Report (MPR), largely due to the temporary effects of higher energy prices and exchange rate pass-through. Core inflation remains significantly below 2 per cent although it has drifted up slightly, partly owing to past exchange rate movements.
Global economic growth in the first quarter of 2014 was weaker than anticipated in the MPR and recent developments give slightly greater weight to downside risks. The U.S. economy is rebounding after a pause in the first quarter, but there could be slightly less underlying momentum than previously expected. Globally, long-term bond yields have continued their decline, reflecting in part growing market anticipation that interest rates will remain low over the long term. This, along with buoyant stock markets and tight credit spreads, indicates that financial conditions remain very stimulative.
The Canadian economy grew at a modest rate in the first quarter, held back by severe weather and supply constraints. The ingredients for a pickup in exports remain in place, including the lower Canadian dollar and an anticipated strengthening of foreign demand. Improved corporate profits, especially in exchange rate-sensitive sectors, should also support higher business investment in the coming quarters. There are continued signs of a soft landing in the housing market and a constructive evolution of household imbalances. We still expect excess supply to be absorbed gradually as the fundamental drivers of growth and inflation in Canada strengthen.
Weighing recent higher inflation readings against slightly increased risks to economic growth leaves the downside risks to the inflation outlook as important as before. At the same time, the risks associated with household imbalances remain elevated. The Bank judges that the balance of risks remains within the zone for which the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate and therefore has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The timing and direction of the next change to the policy rate will depend on how new information influences the balance of risks.


Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Monday, May 19, 2014

Bank of Canada Key Interest Rate, Bank of Canada Prime Rate and Bank Prime Rate what's the difference?




Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

The Bank of Canada Sets the Key Interest Rate and this is the target overnight interest rate at which major financial institutions borrow and lend one-day (or "overnight") funds among themselves - it is this rate that the banks determine all of their lending rates to the public.  This rate is also known as the Bank of Canada Prime Rate


Typically, banks charge 2% above the Bank of Canada Prime Rate for their lines of credit and for their best customers. 


The current Bank of Canada Prime Rate is 1%  Thus, the Bank Prime Rate today is 3%


The Bank of Canada has kept the current Bank of Canada Prime Rate at 1% since July of 2010


See the current rate at this page:


http://www.mississauga4sale.com/rates.htm


more on the definitions of Prime Rate, Bank Rate, Target Rate and more


http://www.mississauga4sale.com/How-does-Bank-of-Canada-Bank-Set-Prime-Rate.htm


All the best!
Mark


For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Sunday, May 18, 2014

Opportunities Exist with short term mortgages

See the graph below.  The wider the gap between the 1 year mortgage interest rate and the 5 year
rate the more opportunity there is to save money!



You may wish to consider choosing a short term variable rate for your mortgage for at
least the next while since the current gap is quite large.

All the best!
Mark







For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and GraphSpecializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Friday, April 11, 2014

5 year closed mortgage or 5 year open, what's best?

Question and answer from an avid blog reader of mine.
 
Hi Mark,
 
I have been researching real estate and mortgages. Found your site and its is very informative.
In your professional opinion is 5 yr. closed mortgage better over 5 yr closed variable ?
 
It seems that banks are pushing for closed variable, why is that. I was offered a 2.7% 5 yr closed variables, after I requested a closed at 3.49%.
After some persuading I took closed variables, did I make mistake? My renewal is in June.
Your input an help will be appreciated
Best regards,
S.
 
Hi S.,
 
Thanks for your kind comments, glad you have found it helpful.
 
There is no simple or quick answer to your question.  It's completely up to your personal risk tolerance.  If you took closed variable at 2.7 this rate will likely stay about where it is for many months and possibly a year or more.  What bank are you with?
 
If you chose the 5 year variable rate, doesn't that mean you are locked in with lender and your rate will fluctuate based upon the prime rate?  If this is the case and prime stays at 3% for at least another year or possibly longer, your rate will remain fixed at 2.7%  You are .3% less than prime, so this is a reasonable discount.  When you say renewal in June, do you mean that's when you can lock in at a fixed mortgage rate?  2.7% is a reasonable rate for a 5 year variable.
 
Mortgage rates are very competitive these days and the banks are slashing rates to get your business. 
 
BMO announced today that the 5yr fixed rates just dropped to 2.99%
 
I too agonized over a renewal for our mortgage last month and was pushing for an additional .1% off the rate.  After TD agreed to the final discount, I did the calculation and it made a difference of less than $2 per month on our payments, so it was minimal.  Depending upon the size of your mortgage, small discounts in the rate have little effect on your payment.
 
The most important aspect of mortgage payments, in my opinion, is to make sure your payments are accelerated bi-weekly.  This is most critical and will allow you to pay off a 25year mortgage in less than 18 years, you save huge on interest and can start saving for retirement 7+ years sooner than you otherwise would have been able to.
 
I hope this helps.
 
Please let me know if you have more questions.
 
Thank you,
Mark
 

Wednesday, January 22, 2014

Bank of Canada Keeps Prime rate at 1% again!

The Bank of Canada announced today that they are keeping the prime lending
rate at 1%

The Bank said that the reasons for this are:



* inflation is below 2%

* global growth is expected to rise in the next 2 years

* growth in Canada has been improved, but slower than anticipated

* economy is expected to gradually grow towards capacity over next two years

* inflation is expected to remain below target for some time, thus downside risks to inflation have grown in importance and keeping the rate as is will help keep inflation low

The Bank of Canada Prime rate has been at 1% since late 2010, over 3 years

I hope this finds you well,

Mark





This is the full release:



Highlights from the bank of Canada Rate announcement:



Ottawa -

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.

Inflation in Canada has moved further below the 2 per cent target, owing largely to significant excess supply in the economy and heightened competition in the retail sector. The path for inflation is now expected to be lower than previously anticipated for most of the projection period. The Bank expects inflation to return to the 2 per cent target in about two years, as the effects of retail competition issipate and excess capacity is absorbed.

Global growth is expected to strengthen over the next two years, rising from 2.9 per cent in 2013 to 3.4 per cent in 2014 and 3.7 per cent in 2015. The United States will lead this acceleration, aided by diminishing fiscal drag, accommodative monetary policy and stronger household balance sheets. The improving U.S. outlook is affecting global bond, equity, and currency markets. Growth in other regions is evolving largely as projected in the Bank's October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Global trade growth plunged after 2011, but is poised to recover as global demand strengthens.

In Canada, growth improved in the second half of 2013. However, there have been few signs of the anticipated rebalancing towards exports and business investment. Stronger U.S. demand, as well as the recent depreciation of the Canadian dollar, should help to boost exports and, in turn, business
confidence and investment. Meanwhile, recent data have been consistent with the Bank's expectation of a soft landing in the housing market and a stabilization of household indebtedness relative to income.

Real GDP growth is projected to pick up from 1.8 per cent in 2013 to 2.5 per cent in both 2014 and 2015. This implies that the economy will return gradually to capacity over the next two years.

Although the fundamental drivers of growth and future inflation appear to be strengthening, inflation is expected to remain well below target for some time, and therefore the downside risks to inflation have grown in importance. At the same time, risks associated with elevated household imbalances have not materially changed. Weighing these considerations, the Bank judges that the balance of risks remains within the zone articulated in October, and therefore has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The timing and direction of the next change to the policy rate will depend on how new information influences this balance of risks.



This is from the papers.....

The Bank of Canada kept its benchmark interest rate steady at one per cent today, continuing its longest stretch of inaction on record.

Canada's central bank last changed its target for the overnight rate in late 2010, when it was raised to its current level. The bank announces its latest policy decision on interest rates every six weeks, and the bank has now stood pat for 26 consecutive policy meetings.

In a statement accompanying Wednesday's decision, the bank said it expects inflation to remain lower than previously anticipated for the next little while. It also said it expects a soft landing in the housing market.

The bank wasn't expected to raise or lower rates on Wednesday, but watchers are closely parsing the statement to gauge which direction the bank is heading in - a rate hike to cool inflation, or a rate cut to stimulate the economy.

Wednesday's statement suggests the bank is leaning toward the former.

The loonie plunged in the immediate aftermath of the news, shedding about a third of a cent to trade at 90.70 cents US.





I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!

All the Best!

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829 CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com
Mississauga4Sale.com

* Thinking of selling your home in the next 3 to 6 months? Would you
like a Complimentary & Quick Over-The-Net Home Evaluation ?
www.mississauga4sale.com/internet-evaluation.htm
* Power of Sales and Foreclosures
www.mississauga4sale.com/Power-Sales-Bank-Sales-Alert-Request.htm
* If you have not already signed up to receive my monthly real estate
newsletter, you may do so here: On-Line Real Estate Newsletter sign up
www.mississauga4sale.com/popupquestion.htm
* See seasonal housing patterns
www.mississauga4sale.com/TREBprice.htm
* Would you like me to send you a desk or wall Calendar?
www.mississauga4sale.com/Calendar-Order-Form.htm

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Decmeber 4 2013 no change in rate

Bank of Canada has decided to not change the bank rate

Once again, the Bank of Canada is leaving it's key lending rate at 1% which means that we consumers have a base of 3% for our Bank Prime lending rate.  This has remained unchanged for over 3 years now, unprecendented in the history of the Bank of Canada to leave the rate unchanged for such a long period of time.

See historic interest rate graph at this link

The Bank of Canada said, "
The global economy is expanding at a modest rate, as the Bank expected. Although growth in several emerging markets has continued to ease, growth in the United States during the third quarter of 2013 was stronger than forecast. Even if some of this pickup was due to temporary factors, the data are consistent with the Bank’s view of gathering momentum in the U.S. economy.
In Canada, underlying growth is broadly in line with the Bank’s projections in its October and July Monetary Policy Reports. Real GDP growth in the third quarter, at 2.7 per cent, was stronger than the Bank was projecting, but its composition does not yet indicate a rebalancing towards exports and investment. The housing sector has been stronger than expected but is consistent with updated demographic data and a pulling forward of home purchases in light of favourable financing conditions. The Bank continues to expect a soft landing in the housing market. Non-commodity exports continue to disappoint and the price of oil produced in Canada has eased further. Business investment spending is up from previous low levels, but is still recovering more slowly than anticipated. On balance, the Bank sees no reason to adjust its expectation of a gradual return to full production capacity around the end of 2015"

Read more from the Bank of Canada


Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Saturday, November 30, 2013

Bank of Canada Interest Rate - latest announcement

As of November 30, 2013 the Bank Prime remains at 1%

Typical lending rates for the public is Bank Prime Rate which is 3%

see current best interest rates

This is an excerpt from the latest announcement from the Bank of Canada

Ottawa -
The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
The global economy is expected to expand modestly in 2013, although its near-term dynamic has changed and the composition of growth is now slightly less favourable for Canada. The U.S. economy is softer than expected but as fiscal headwinds dissipate and household deleveraging ends, growth should accelerate through 2014 and 2015. The nascent recovery in Europe, while modest, has surprised on the upside. China’s economy is showing renewed momentum, while growth in a number of other emerging market economies has slowed as their financial conditions have tightened. Overall, the global economy is projected to grow by 2.8 per cent in 2013 and accelerate to 3.4 per cent in 2014 and 3.6 per cent in 2015.
In Canada, uncertain global and domestic economic conditions are delaying the pick-up in exports and business investment, leaving the level of economic activity lower than the Bank had been expecting. While household spending remains solid, slower growth of household credit and higher mortgage interest rates point to a gradual unwinding of household imbalances. The Bank expects that a better balance between domestic and foreign demand will be achieved over time and that growth will become more self-sustaining. Real GDP growth is projected to increase from 1.6 per cent in 2013 to 2.3 per cent in 2014 and 2.6 per cent in 2015. The Bank expects that the economy will return gradually to full production capacity, around the end of 2015.

read more: http://www.bankofcanada.ca/monetary-policy-introduction/key-interest-rate/schedule/

Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph

For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Wednesday, March 06, 2013

Bank of Canada Interest Rate announcement March 6, 2013

The Bank of Canada just announced they are keeping the prime rate at 1% meaning that the prime lending rate stays at 3%

This is historic news, this is the longest stretch that the Bank of Canada has kept it's rate this low.  It's been at 1% since the fall of 2010!

Read more at this link

See current rates at this link

Full aannouncement is below

Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and Graph


Ottawa - The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.




The global economic outlook is broadly consistent with the Bank’s projection in its January Monetary Policy Report (MPR). Global financial conditions remain stimulative, despite recent volatility. In the United States, the economic expansion is continuing at a gradual pace and private sector demand is gaining momentum. Fiscal drag in the United States over the next two years remains consistent with the Bank’s January projection, although it is likely to be more front-loaded as a result of sequestration cuts. The recession in Europe continues. Growth in China has improved, while economic activity in some other major emerging economies is expected to benefit from policy stimulus. Commodity prices have remained at historically elevated levels, although persistent transportation bottlenecks are leading to continued discounts for Canadian heavy crude oil.



Canada’s economy grew by 0.6 per cent at annual rates in the fourth quarter of 2012, with solid growth across most domestic components of GDP offset by a sharp reduction in the pace of inventory investment. The Bank expects growth in Canada to pick up through 2013, supported by modest growth in household spending combined with a recovery in exports and solid business investment. With a more constructive evolution of imbalances in the household sector, residential investment is expected to decline further from historically high levels. The Bank expects trend growth in household credit to moderate further, with the debt-to-income ratio stabilizing near current levels. Despite the expected recovery in exports, they are likely to remain below their pre-recession peak until the second half of 2014 owing to restrained foreign demand and ongoing competitiveness challenges, including the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar.



Total CPI inflation has been somewhat more subdued than projected in the January MPR as a result of weaker core inflation and lower mortgage interest costs, which were only partially offset by higher gasoline prices. Low core inflation reflects muted price pressures across a wide range of goods and services, consistent with material excess capacity in the economy. Core and total CPI inflation are expected to remain low in the near term before rising gradually to reach 2 per cent over the projection horizon as the economy returns to full capacity and inflation expectations remain well-anchored.



Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. With continued slack in the Canadian economy, the muted outlook for inflation, and the more constructive evolution of imbalances in the household sector, the considerable monetary policy stimulus currently in place will likely remain appropriate for a period of time, after which some modest withdrawal will likely be required, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target.


For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

A. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

Reasons to be very happy we live under the current financial climate in Canada


The Bank of Canada also comments on future circumstances and predictions of what it sees for interest rates in the future.  At each announcment, as they did this morning, they update their forcast.  This is the latest forcast:

"Following an estimated 1.9 per cent in 2012, the Canadian economy is expected to grow by 2.0 per cent in 2013 and 2.7 per cent in 2014, and to reach full  capacity in the second half of 2014, later than anticipated in the October Report."

This indicates that as long at the economy in Canada and globally continues as it is, we can probably expect that interest rates will remain at about 1% well into 2014.  This is good news for people who need to borrow.

The governor of the Bank of Canada is Mark Carney and he made a remark in Decmeber of 2012 and it was:

“Achieving our objective will mean delivering a path of policy that adjusts as economic circumstances evolve…. Our goal, as always, is to ensure that households, firms and investors can make their decisions in a stable macro environment.”

With this type of thinking we have to be very happy to live under this financial climate in Canada

All the Best!
Mark



For more information please contact A. Mark Argentino

Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Average Prices and GraphA. Mark Argentino, Broker, P.Eng.,
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc., Brokerage
2691 Credit Valley Road, Suite 101, Mississauga, Ontario L5M 7A1
BUS. 905-828-3434
FAX. 905-828-2829
E-MAIL: mark@mississauga4sale.com
Website: Mississauga4Sale.com

Prime Rate stays at 1% Bank of Canada

The Bank of Canada announcement today stated they overestimated growth in the economy and are keeping the rate at 1% meaning the prime lending rate for public stays at 3%

The next Bank of Canada interest rate announcement is 6 March 2013 and their comments on the economy will be interesting indeed!

All the best
Mark

This is the annoucement from the Bank of Canada

The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.




The global economic outlook is slightly weaker than the Bank had projected in its October Monetary Policy Report (MPR). At the same time, global tail risks have diminished. The economic expansion in the United States is continuing at a gradual pace, restrained by ongoing public and private deleveraging, global weakness and uncertainty related to fiscal negotiations. Despite a marked improvement in peripheral sovereign debt markets, Europe remains in recession, with a somewhat more protracted downturn now expected than in October. Growth in China is improving, though economic activity has slowed further in some other major emerging economies. Supported by central bank actions and by positive policy developments in Europe, global financial conditions are more stimulative. Commodity prices have remained at historically elevated levels, though temporary disruptions and persistent transportation bottlenecks have led to a record discount on Canadian heavy crude.



In Canada, the slowdown in the second half of 2012 was more pronounced than the Bank had anticipated, owing to weaker business investment and exports. Caution about high debt levels has begun to restrain household spending. The Bank expects economic growth to pick up through 2013. Business investment and exports are projected to rebound as foreign demand strengthens, uncertainty diminishes and the temporary factors that have weighed on resource sector activity are unwound. Nonetheless, exports should remain below their pre-recession peak until the second half of 2014 owing to a lower track for foreign demand and ongoing competitiveness challenges, including the persistent strength of the Canadian dollar. Consumption is expected to grow moderately and residential investment to decline further from historically high levels. The Bank expects trend growth in household credit to moderate further, with the debt-to-income ratio stabilizing near current levels.



Relative to the October MPR, Canadian economic activity is expected to be more restrained. Following an estimated 1.9 per cent in 2012, the economy is expected to grow by 2.0 per cent in 2013 and 2.7 per cent in 2014. The Bank now expects the economy to reach full capacity in the second half of 2014, later than anticipated in the October MPR.



Core inflation has softened by more than the Bank had expected, with more muted price pressures across a wide range of goods and services, consistent with the unexpected increase in excess capacity. Total CPI inflation has also been lower than anticipated, reflecting developments in core inflation and weaker-than-projected gasoline prices. Total CPI inflation is expected to remain around 1 per cent in the near term before rising gradually, along with core inflation, to the 2 per cent target in the second half of 2014 as the economy returns to full capacity and inflation expectations remain well-anchored.



Reflecting all of these factors, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. While some modest withdrawal of monetary policy stimulus will likely be required over time, consistent with achieving the 2 per cent inflation target, the more muted inflation outlook and the beginnings of a more constructive evolution of imbalances in the household sector suggest that the timing of any such withdrawal is less imminent than previously anticipated.



Information note:

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is 6 March 2013. The next full update of the Bank’s outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be published in the MPR on 17 April 2013.

read more at this page

Friday, June 22, 2012

New Mortgage Guidelines in Canada as per Finance Minister Jim Flaherty June 21 2012

Hello, This is a Summary of changes to mortgage guidelines as per Finance
Minister Jim Flaherty...(effective July 9th, 2012)



1) The maximum amortization period for purchases with less than a 20% down
payment will be 25 years (down from 30 years)

2) Home owners will only be able to refinance their homes up to 80% of the
home's value (down from 85%)

3) The government is also resetting the maximum Gross Debt Servicing ratio
(GDS) to 39% and the Total Debt Servicing ratio (TDS) to 44% (Currently, GDS
does not apply to qualified borrowers with credit scores of 680+) ***see
below for info GDS and TDS

4) Mortgage Insurance will no longer be available of homes over $1 million
(you will need to have at least 20% down payment)



OSFI (The Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions Canada is
the primary regulator and supervisor of federally regulated deposit-taking
institutions



Also announced the following changes...

1) The maximum loan to value on home equity lines of credit (HELOCs) is
cut to 65% from 80%

2) The loan to value will be re-calculated upon any refinancing and
whenever the lender deems prudent

3) HELOCs will continue to serve as revolving lines of credit with no
specific amortization period. However, OSFI says lenders must now expect
borrowers to have the ability to fully repay HELOCs over time.



Debt Ratios (GDS / TDS Ratios)

Lenders have long relied on two standard measures of one's "ability to pay"
their mortgage:



Gross Debt Service (GDS): The percentage of the borrower's income that is
needed to pay all required monthly housing costs (mortgage payments,
property taxes, heat and 50% of condo fees).



Total Debt Service (TDS): The percentage of the borrower's income that is
needed to cover housing costs (GDS) plus any other monthly obligations that
an individual has, such as credit card payments and car payments.

The acceptable ratios for both have generally been 32% and 40% respectively.

For people with very high credit scores, GDS requirements are often waived
and the TDS maximum is slightly higher (44% as of January 2011).

I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!

All the Best!

Mark

A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829 CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com
Mississauga4Sale.com

* Thinking of selling your home in the next 3 to 6 months? Would you
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Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Mortgage Rates On The Rise

Just as soon as I posted that fixed rates are currently excellent and it's a great time to lock in, then I received the email below that fixed mortgage rates are on the rise!

Could be time to lock in..... read below

Mark


_____

From: Mortgage consultant
Sent: Tuesday, March 27, 2012 8:51 PM
Subject: Mortgage Rates On The Rise

Mortgage Rate Bulletin

RBC and TD have announced mortgage rate hikes effective this Thursday March
29th... Other lenders are sure to follow!

Get your applications in now to get your 120 rate holds before rates go up.

10 year fixed rates still available at 3.99% and are looking better and
better right now!

5 year fixed rates still available at 2.99%

If you need mortgage help, please contact me!

Mark

Are rates about to increase? Mortgage Interest Rate outlook

We have seen a price war for 4 year mortgage interest rates for the past couple of weeks. BMO was one of the first out of the gate to offer 2.99% for a 4 year mortgage, the other banks and lenders followed shortly thereafter.
Now you can see 5 and 10 year mortgage interest rates at absurdly low levels.
I've seen 5 year fixed rate mortgages at 3.5% which is unbelievably low.
Fixed rate mortgages are very attractive right now.
I've written many articles about staying with short term mortgage rates at this page:
<http://www.mississauga4sale.com/Lock-In-Short-Term-Long-Term-Mortgage.htm>
http://www.mississauga4sale.com/Lock-In-Short-Term-Long-Term-Mortgage.htm
My preference for many years has been to go variable, but if you are not a gambler, then it could be getting close to the time where you lock in your mortgage.
Read the article below that just appeared in the POST, it's very interesting what the experts are saying.
Stay Tuned.......
All the best!
Mark


The logic is pretty simple. You hit rock bottom and there is no where else to go but up.




Mortgage rates on terms of five years and 10 years have never been this low. You can go back 50 years and not find a rate of 2.99% from one of the major banks for a fixed-rate product for five years. The 10-year, an almost unheard of length for most Canadians to commit to, has touched down at below 4%. Even sticking it out with a variable-rate product linked to the prime lending rate still looks pretty good with most major financial institutions offering some type of discount off their 3% floating rate. Already there are signs rates could be on the increase. The bond market - which mortgage rates are based on - has been rising fast and the big banks say their most recent specials will come to an end this week. But even with a 50 basis point increase, a five-year fixed closed mortgage of 3.5% is almost unheard of historically. "Everybody is looking at the bottom here and thinking, 'When are rates going to go up?'"  .Even among the experts, few foresaw this price war in the mortgage sector. "With the big banks getting very aggressive again, it took a lot of people by surprise," said Mr. Mangaroo. "I think people were thinking the status quo would hold for a while." .He says the last Bank of Canada announcement about the economy had people thinking at some point the overnight lending rate, which impacts the prime lending rate, would go up, but not this year. "Now that people are thinking of early 2013, that has people talking but really that is just so far out says Mr. Mangaroo. "It's really just an abstract concept at this point." Craig Alexander, chief economist with Toronto-Dominion Bank, says he can understand how there might be some fatigue from consumers hearing about rising rates. "Unfortunately, we have been saying for years 'that's it, rates can't go any lower than they are today' and then they are [lower] 12 months later," Mr. Alexander says. .But this time out, he says, it almost seems impossible that rates on a five-year closed mortgage could go lower than the current 3%. "Short of the Canadian economy going into a recession and causing the Bank of Canada to cut rates back to their all-time low, there really isn't an environment that would lead to significantly lower mortgage rates," Mr. Alexander says. "The downside here is extraordinarily limited." The real risk for the consumer might be not locking in right now. While no one is expecting the overnight rate to go up anytime soon - discounts off the prime lending rate might even improve if the economic uncertainty calms in some parts of the world - the 50-year-low rates today could become hard to find. "If the economic forecasters are wrong about the outlook for growth and things turn out better than anticipated, then bond yield will rise, we'll have a steeper yield curve and higher fixed mortgage rates," Mr. Alexander says. "You won't be able to get what is offered today in 12 months time. They could go up half a percentage point or higher." In the interim, Gregory Klump, chief economist with Canadian Real Estate Association, says in terms of profitability, there is room for the banks to go lower on rates, but margins for the banks are so thin he doesn't expect it happen. "We are not out of the woods yet in terms of a clear picture that growth is going to strengthen," says Mr. Klump about the catalyst that could drive up bond rates, which would impact mortgage rates. "My own view is growth may well weaken." He predicts that any rise in rates will happen slowly, which the housing market would more easily absorb. "I do not expect it," Mr. Klump says about the type of interest rate shock that could send housing sales tumbling. Author Garth Turner, a noted pessimist on the fortunes of housing these days, thinks those who want to be in the market for a house should probably be grabbing on to long-term products. He says the banks know the housing market is already shrinking and are scrambling for a larger share of the mortgage market, something that also allows them to cross-sell other products like RRSPs to consumers. "The writing is already on the wall, prices will be declining," Mr. Turner says. "The Bank of Canada will be raising rates." A Bank of Canada hike will make variable rates rise fast, and he agrees the present day rates could look very good in a few years. "If you want to be a homeowner, it is an appealing product. Three or fours years from now, these rates could look absurd. I have no problem with being in real estate as long as it's not the bulk of your net worth. If you are getting into real estate now though and leveraging up, you are going to be unhappy about it," says Mr. Turner, adding the raising rate environment will hurt sales and prices will follow quickly. Don Lawby, chief executive of Century 21, says the rate wars going on right now combined with the unusually warm winter have already boosted housing sales, which could leave little demand left for the spring market. "Interest rates are low and they probably can't go any lower than they are," says Mr. Lawby, who thinks there is not much room for housing prices to go higher. "I looked around and say if the local economy stays good, the market can stay good. But these low rates are very key."

I hope this finds you Happy and Healthy!
All the Best!
Mark
A. Mark Argentino
P. Eng. Broker
Specializing in Residential & Investment Real Estate
RE/MAX Realty Specialists Inc.
Providing Full-Time Professional Real Estate Services since 1987
BUS 905-828-3434
FAX 905-828-2829 CELL 416-520-1577
mark@mississauga4sale.com
Mississauga4Sale.com
* Thinking of selling your home in the next 3 to 6 months? Would you
like a Complimentary & Quick Over-The-Net Home Evaluation ?
www.mississauga4sale.com/internet-evaluation.htm

* Power of Sales and Foreclosures
www.mississauga4sale.com/Power-Sales-Bank-Sales-Alert-Request.htm

* If you have not already signed up to receive my monthly real estate
newsletter, you may do so here: On-Line Real Estate Newsletter sign up
www.mississauga4sale.com/popupquestion.htm

* See seasonal housing patterns
www.mississauga4sale.com/TREBprice.htm

* Would you like me to send you a desk or wall Calendar?
www.mississauga4sale.com/Calendar-Order-Form.htm